Nvidia stock needs to jump 55% from current levels to hit $200. Consensus estimates are projecting a 50% increase in Nvidia's earnings in fiscal 2026 to $4.45 per share. The Street-high estimate points toward a 101% jump in its bottom line.

While the demand is there, it's clear that's not the sole reason why Nvidia's RTX 50 series is impossible to find in stores. Many retailers received fairly low stock quantities, as Nvidia reportedly experienced manufacturing issues.

On Jan. 27, Nvidia ( NVDA -3.67%) fell 17%, erasing over $590 billion from its market cap. It marked the greatest single-day market-cap destruction for a company in U.S. stock market history. While the growth stock recovered nearly half of those losses the following day, there are still lessons to be learned from this historic market event.